2 PAGASA Monitors Two LPAs Outside PAR, One Develops Into Tropical Depression

PAGASA tracking two LPAs outside Philippine territory

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) is closely monitoring two Low Pressure Areas (LPAs) currently located outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), with one expected to develop into a tropical depression and another showing less chance of intensification.

As of 8:00 p.m. on April 2, 2025, one LPA was situated east of northeastern Mindanao, while the other remained further east over the Pacific Ocean. Both systems are being observed for potential impact on the country's weather patterns in the coming days.

First LPA develops into tropical depression

According to PAGASA, the LPA located east of northeastern Mindanao, initially outside PAR, has intensified into a tropical depression. This development was reported by the state weather bureau on Monday, April 1, 2025.

PAGASA noted that the system is moving westward and may enter PAR within 24 to 48 hours. Once inside Philippine territory, it will be given a local name and may trigger enhanced monsoon rains across Luzon and Visayas.

Forecast wind and rain impacts

Though still far from land, the tropical depression could bring moderate to heavy rainfall over Eastern Visayas and the Caraga region as it approaches. PAGASA warned that scattered rains and thunderstorms are possible even before it enters PAR.

Fisherfolk and small vessel operators are advised to monitor updates, as sea conditions may become rough in the eastern seaboard. The agency said it will issue a gale warning if needed.

Second LPA has less chance of developing

The other LPA being monitored outside PAR has a lower probability of intensifying into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours. PAGASA stated that the system remains disorganized and is unlikely to develop in the short term.

However, the weather bureau continues to track its movement, as changes in atmospheric conditions could still trigger development. The LPA is embedded in an area of convective activity that may interact with the prevailing monsoon flow.

No immediate threat to Philippine landmass

PAGASA clarified that neither system currently poses a direct threat to any part of the Philippines. The agency is maintaining routine monitoring and will issue public advisories if either LPA shows signs of intensification or changes direction toward the country.

The state bureau reminded the public that the typhoon season runs from June to November, but LPAs can form outside this period. Early monitoring is standard protocol to ensure preparedness.

Monsoon rains continue across the Philippines

Meanwhile, the southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to affect many parts of the country, bringing cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers over Metro Manila, Central Luzon, and Southern Luzon. PAGASA said the monsoon could be enhanced by the tropical depression as it nears PAR.

Residents in low-lying and flood-prone areas are advised to stay alert for possible flash floods and landslides, especially during moderate to heavy rain events. Local disaster risk reduction offices have been placed on standby.

Significance for Filipino readers

For Filipinos, the development of LPAs outside PAR into tropical depressions signals the start of the weather disturbance season. While these systems may not directly hit the country, they can still affect rainfall patterns and disrupt daily activities, including transportation, agriculture, and power supply.

Staying informed through official PAGASA bulletins and following evacuation orders when issued can save lives and property. The public is encouraged to download the PAGASA mobile app and monitor social media channels for real-time updates.